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05/27/2010 - Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Columbus Crew host the Los Angeles Galaxy on Saturday night in Major League Soccer action in what very well could be a preview of MLS Cup 2010.
Both teams are unbeaten just under a third of the way into the season, with the Crew (6-0-2) actually rattling off three wins in an eight days stretch last week - the last two of which were on the road. The week was capped off with a 1-0 win this past Sunday in Kansas City.
"The field is small," Crew goalkeeper William Hesmer told mlssoccer.com of CommunityAmerica Ballpark in K.C. "It made for a kind of ugly game. That's been our style and how we've played so far this year. We were up for the battle."
The Crew were playing without winger Robbie Rogers and defender Chad Marshall, who were with the U.S. national team in preparation of the upcoming World Cup. Both players should be available on Saturday, however, after the were cut when the final 23-man roster was announced on Wednesday.
The Galaxy weren't so lucky on Wednesday, with their two players in U.S. camp - MLS assist leader Landon Donovan and goal leader Edson Buddle - both making the 23-man roster. They will be unavailable to the Galaxy until at least the conclusion of the World Cup's group stage at the end of June.
But the Galaxy (8-0-2) will have to find a way to get a result for the second straight week without both their most talented [Donovan], and their most in- form [Buddle] players.
"They're a good team," L.A. defender Sean Franklin told mlssoccer.com of the Crew. "I've seen some film of some of their games, and they've scored a number of goals on set pieces.
"They're just a tough opponent this week ... we have to be sharp."
Will the Crew should get two significant players back, they also could be without three important pieces in defenders Frankie Hejduk and Danny O'Rourke, and midfielder Brian Carroll, who suffered knocks last week.
The Galaxy are relatively healthy, with forward Alan Gordon, midfielder Dema Kovalenko, and defender Leonardo all listed as questionable with injuries.
<< Wizards searching for elusive win at RSL
Sandy, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Real Salt Lake puts its perfect May record on the
line vs. the visiting Kansas City Wizards on Saturday night in Major League
Soccer action at Rio Tinto Stadium.
RSL (5-3-1) has won its previous four games
<< 'Quakes put streak on line vs. TFC
Santa Clara, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Jose Earthquakes put a four-game
unbeaten run on the line when they host Toronto FC in Major League Soccer
action at Buck Shaw Stadium on Saturday night.
The 'Quakes are coming off a 1-0 at
<< Dallas, Chicago battle to draw
Bridgeview, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FC Dallas and the Chicago Fire battled to a
1-1 draw in Major League Soccer action at Toyota Park on Thursday night.
The draw was the sixth in 10 games to start the season for the Hoops (2-2-6),
who close
<< Oakland scores five in eighth to nip Orioles
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kevin Kouzmanoff's bases-clearing double
keyed a five-run eighth inning, as the Oakland Athletics rallied late for a
7-5 victory over Baltimore in the rubber match of a three-game series at
Camden
DeJesus helps Royals edge BoSox >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David DeJesus went 2-for-4 with a pair of RBI,
including the eventual game-winner in the sixth, as the Royals slowed down the
surging Red Sox, 4-3, in the opener of a four-game set.
Boston came into the game
Report: Two UConn assistants resign >>
Storrs, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The University of Connecticut has called a news
conference for 10 a.m. (et) Friday at Gampel Pavilion, when the school is
expected to disclose its review of possible recruiting violations in the men's
basketb
Artest beats buzzer with put back, Lakers steal Game 5 >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ron Artest caught Kobe Bryant's air ball
and put in the winning shot at the buzzer, lifting the Los Angeles Lakers to a
dramatic 103-101 win over Phoenix in the pivotal Game 5 of the Western
Confere
Kubel's two homers power Twins over Yankees >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jason Kubel slugged a pair of home runs and
drove in five while Nick Blackburn worked effectively over seven innings, as
the Twins avoided a three-game sweep at the hands of the Yankees with an 8-2
win at
While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.
Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.
The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.
What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.
These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.
College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.
Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.
Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.
Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.
I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.
Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.
It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.
As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.
Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your NCAA college football betting needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
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