Conrad's late slam helps Braves cook Marlins

Baseball Betting Lines

07/25/2010 - Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brooks Conrad hit his second career grand slam during an eight-run eighth inning, as the Atlanta Braves rallied past the Florida Marlins, 10-5, in the second test of a three-game set between these two NL East rivals.

Martin Prado hit a solo homer for the Braves, who bounced back from a 7-6 loss in the opener of this series. Eric Hinske drove in two runs and scored once, while Jason Heyward had three hits and scored twice for the victors.

Jesse Chavez (2-1) tossed a perfect seventh to pick up the win.

Dan Uggla homered and knocked in three runs for the Marlins, who had a three- game winning streak snapped. Mike Stanton added a solo homer.

"It's not the first time [we blew a lead] and it won't be the last...It just so happens they stole one from us," Uggla said. "That's baseball."

Trailing 5-2, Atlanta exploded for eight runs in the eighth. Taylor Tankersley started the inning on the mound for Florida. Heyward singled, Chipper Jones reached first on Jorge Cantu's throwing error, and Brian McCann was hit by a pitch to load the bases with nobody out.

Jhan Martinez (1-1) came in from the bullpen and walked Troy Glaus to force in a run. Hinske followed with a two-run single to right to tie the game. Burke Badenhop then took over for Martinez on the hill. Alex Gonzalez put down a bunt and catcher Ronny Paulino threw to third, but the runner was safe to load the bases. Two batters later, pinch-hitter Conrad drove the ball into the seats in right for a 9-5 lead.

"In those situations you have to be confident as a pinch hitter," Conrad said. "If you're hesitant, you're probably not going to get the job done."

Jones knocked in another run later in the inning when he grounded into a fielder's choice.

Florida stranded the bases loaded in the ninth.

Prado's homer to left in the top of the first gave Atlanta the early lead. However, Florida plated a run of its own in the home half to tie the game. Chris Coghlan was hit by a pitch and Gaby Sanchez singled to put men on the corners with nobody out. After Hanley Ramirez struck out, Uggla drove in a run when he grounded out.

McCann's RBI single in the top of the third gave the Braves a 2-1 edge.

The Marlins, though, responded with three runs in the bottom of the third to go in front by two. Coghlan hit a one-out single and came around to score on Sanchez's double down the left-field line. Two batters later, Uggla smacked Kris Medlen's offering into the seats in left for a 4-2 advantage.

Atlanta put runners on the corners in the fifth, but McCann grounded into an inning-ending double play.

Stanton's homer to right in the sixth made it a 5-2 game.

Game Notes

Atlanta has won five of its eight matchups with the Marlins this season...The Braves' eight runs in the eighth was a season-high for runs scored in an inning...Uggla's homer was the 139th of his career, which moved him into sole possession of second place on the team's all-time home run list. Mike Lowell is the franchise leader with 143...Marlins manager Edwin Rodriguez was ejected in the top of the fifth for arguing balls and strikes...Heyward extended his hitting streak to eight games...Braves starter Medlen lasted six frames, allowing five runs on eight hits. He fanned a season-high eight batters and walked one...Florida starter Anibal Sanchez went six innings, giving up two runs on five hits. He struck out seven and walked three.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.