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10/06/2007 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lava Man, the winner of six career turf races, is the 4-5 morning-line favorite for Sunday's $250,000 Oak Tree Mile at Santa Anita Park. The winner of the one mile grass race will gain automatic entry into the Breeders' Cup Mile through the "Win and You're In" program.
Owned by STD Racing and Jason Wood, Lava Man will start from post two the six horse field. Corey Nakatani again will be in the saddle as the six- year-old tries to get back to the winner's circle.
Lava Man, trained by Doug O'Neill, was held out of last week's Goodwood Stakes which was won by Tiago. The gelding is coming off a sixth place finish the Pacific Classic at Del Mar, an event which he won 2006.
"I think we're going to need to see a real strong performance for us to think about going to New Jersey, and, you know, it's pretty obvious his record outside California's been pretty dismal," said O'Neill. "So for us even to think about putting him on a plane and heading towards New Jersey we're going to have to see a really solid performance, the way he's training and, you know, he's telling us that he's going to give us a solid performance. So we'll kind of wait and see."
Lava Man has won 17 of 41 career starts for better than $5.2 million, which makes him the richest active thoroughbred North America. This year he won the Sunshine Millions Turf along with the Santa Anita Handicap and Hollywood Gold Cup. Last year the Breeders' Cup Classic at Churchill Downs he was a disappointing seventh.
Here is the complete field for the Oak Tree Mile post position order: Surf Cat, Alex Solis 9-5; Lava Man, Corey Nakatani 4-5; Out of Control, Michael Baze 6-1; Zann Aaron Gryder 15-1; Get Funky, Jose Valdivia, Jr. 10-1 and Courtnall, David Flores 15-1.
This year's Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships will be conducted on Friday and Saturday, October 26 and 27 at Monmouth Park.
<< Waltrip, Toyota dominate qualifying at Talladega
Talladega, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Waltrip led a contingent of seven
Toyota-powered cars into the top-10 capturing the pole for Sunday's UAW-Ford
500, the fourth race in the 10-race "Chase for the Nextel Cup." The No.55 NAPA
Auto Parts To
<< WVU cruses Syracuse; White hurt
Syracuse, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pat White passed for one touchdown and ran for
another score before leaving the game with an injury, as 13th-ranked West
Virginia pounded Syracuse, 55-14, at the Carrier Dome.
Owen Schmitt ran for a pa
<< Marseille continues to slide after yielding late winner
St Etienne, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Despite a perfect 2-0 start in the
Champions League, Marseille continued its domestic struggles on Saturday,
dropping a 1-0 contest to St Etienne as Geoffrey Dernis scored the match
winner
<< Oilers extend Lowe's contract
Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Edmonton Oilers extended the contract of
general manager Kevin Lowe for four years, keeping him with the team through
the 2011-12 season.
Lowe, who played for the Oilers and was part of all of the team
Kansas comes back to beat No. 24 Kansas State >>
Manhattan, KS (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dexton Fields' 30-yard touchdown catch gave
Kansas the lead in a wild final 15 minutes, as the Jayhawks finally downed
No. 24 Kansas State in Manhattan, 30-24.
The Jayhawks (5-0, 1-0 Big 12) finally
Roberts leads Funk at Senior Players >>
Timonium, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Loren Roberts held off the steady charge of
Fred Funk with a three-under 67 on Saturday to remain in the lead after three
rounds of the Senior Players Championship.
Roberts finished with a tough up-and-
Donato Hanover equals record with Kentucky Futurity win >>
Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Donato Hanover, winner of the Hambletonian,
equaled the world record on Saturday with his victory in the $742,000 Kentucky
Futurity at The Red Mile. The Futurity is the final race in trotting's
Triple
Benson edges Crawford for win at Talladega >>
Talladega, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Todd Bodine held off a last corner charge
from Rick Crawford and Johnny Benson to capture Saturday's Mountain Dew 250
Craftsman Truck Series race at the Talladega Superspeedway. The No.30 Germain
Toyota crossed
American Idol Betting Season 6 Strategies
It's that time of year folks. Betting on American Idol Season 9. And we have plenty of American Idol Season 6 strategies appearing below. With the Top 24 finalists revealed, online gambling sites will be offering betting odds on each of them, including MySportsbook.com.
No other “event” has been growing as fast as wagering on American Idol. It has turned into a huge betting event with reasonably high limits and all sorts of profit-making potential for sharp bettors. Last year, MySportsbook.com experienced unprecedented traffic as a result of the American Idol betting craze.
Every week there will be odds to win American Idol, various elimination props and contestant versus contestant match-ups at the MySportsbook.com website.
Whether a fan of America’s top-rated show or watching only because of a wife or girlfriend, here are some of basic strategies to use when betting American Idol.
Odds to Win
There are a few things to consider when looking for the right win bet. First off, remember that this bet is for the long haul. Many people make the mistake of picking the performer who sang the best the previous week. This strategy leads to an underlay situation – betting a price, which is less than what it should be.
All Idol contestants struggle at some point in the competition, so you should always look for value. In last year’s competition alone, two performers who had some of the best performances early in the series were subsequently bet down to low prices - Lisa Tucker and Ace Young. After just a few weeks, Tucker had already been eliminated, while Young quickly became a huge long shot to win America’s largest talent search.
A better strategy is to look for performers who don’t necessarily get the praise from the judges, but show flashes of the talent necessary to go the distance.
Another important thing to remember when betting any contestant to win is the demographic breakdown of the voters, the viewing public and potential future CD purchasers. Unlike sporting events, American Idol is not decided on the field of play – it’s decided by the American public under the guiding influence of the shows producers.
Understand that the great state of Alabama has a mighty edge when it comes to American Idol.
Therefore, to be successful betting on American Idol, put any personal opinions or prejudices aside and think like the majority of the voting public. Remember that the typical voter is young, female and quite often, Southern.
If a contestant cannot appeal to this demographic, no matter how much talent he or she possesses, they’ll struggle for votes. Looks, demeanor and charisma are extremely important. And it’s no coincidence that every Idol winner so far has hailed from a Southern state.
Elimination Props
Every week MySportsbook.com anticipates offering a prop on who’ll be eliminated from the show each Wednesday night. A suggestion to handicap this is to gauge an overall feel for who’s the least popular contestant left in the competition. Generally the least popular performers have recently appeared in the bottom three and will have been the target of repeated criticism from the judges.
Last year, resources included dialidol.com and votefortheworst.com. Dialidol.com measures the volume of each contestant’s voting line. While by no means a perfect science, it does give a good indication of who is generating votes and who isn’t. Meanwhile, votefortheworst.com is a site that attempts to build support for the worst competitor to keep them in the competition for ‘entertainment’ value. The site has a proven track record of keeping performers around who most feel should have been voted off a long time ago.
Contestant vs. Contestant Match-ups
The best strategy for doing well on match-ups is to assess how close either of the contestants is to being eliminated. If neither is expected to be voted off of the show in the coming weeks, the value is almost always on the underdog. If both are expecting an imminent exit in the near future, the favorite in the match-up might offer value.
Watch for American Idol betting odds on each of the contestants shortly and good luck with these American Idol betting strategies.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.
In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
To visit this internet sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting and World Series odds.
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