Sharks load up for playoffs

Hockey Betting Lines

02/28/2007 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Doug Wilson must quickly be moving up Joe Thornton's Christmas card list.

Not only did San Jose's executive vice president and general manager rescue Thornton from hockey purgatory last season, also known as Boston, but Wilson has picked up some nice pieces for Thornton this campaign as well.

The Sharks came out big winners in Tuesday's trade deadline when they acquired forward Bill Guerin from the St. Louis Blues for forwards Ville Nieminen and Jay Barriball and a 2007 first-round pick that they received from New Jersey.

That deal came just two days after acquiring veteran defenseman Craig Rivet from Montreal for defenseman Josh Gorges and the Sharks' first-round pick in the 2007 Draft.

"I'm thrilled, I am really excited about it," Guerin said about the trade. "This is one of those teams that was on my radar. I am very happy to be going there."

Guerin had 28 goals and 19 assists for 47 points in 61 games with the Blues this season. It was his first season in St. Louis as the former first-round pick has also skated with New Jersey, Edmonton, Boson and Dallas.

In 1,010 career games, Guerin has 356 goals and 354 assists for 710 points.

The addition of Guerin now gives the Sharks a potentially powerful line combination of Guerin, Thornton and Jonathan Cheechoo. That would also allow San Jose to drop promising rookie Ryane Clowe onto a line with leading scorer Patrick Marleau should it choose to do so.

San Jose did trade away a pair of first-round picks to pull off the two deals, but with young talents like Clowe, forward Joe Pavelski and defenseman Matt Carle and Marc-Edouard Vlasic already cracking the roster, the Sharks were able to mortgage a little bit of the future.

The Sharks also moved a pair of players before the deadline, sending goaltender Nolan Schaefer to Pittsburgh for a seventh-round pick in the 2007 draft and forward Scott Parker to Colorado for a sixth-round selection in 2008.

Both players were easily expendable. Schaefer is 27 and is stuck behind Evgeni Nabokov and Vesa Toskala on the depth chart while Parker, who was originally selected by the Avs in the first round of the 1998 draft, played in just 11 games this season. Parker has been on injured reserve three times this season because of ankle problems.

Hopefully, Guerin and Rivet will provide a spark to a Shark club that has lost five of its last seven games. That recent losing stretch has dropped San Jose two points behind second-place Dallas and seven points behind Anaheim for the lead in the Pacific Division.

The Sharks will get a chance to make up ground on their own terms however. The club hosts Nashville on Wednesday and then faces consecutive road games against the Ducks and Stars.

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How did changes to college football betting rules affect bettors?

The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.

While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.

For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.

1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.

2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.

How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.

Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.

Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.

How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).

Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.

Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your bet on college football needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.