Waltrip, Toyota dominate qualifying at Talladega

Autoracing Betting Lines

10/06/2007 - Talladega, AL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Michael Waltrip led a contingent of seven Toyota-powered cars into the top-10 capturing the pole for Sunday's UAW-Ford 500, the fourth race in the 10-race "Chase for the Nextel Cup." The No.55 NAPA Auto Parts Toyota driver circled the 2.66-mile Talladega Superspeedway in 50.648 seconds (189.070 m.p.h.).

The pole victory was Waltrip's first this season and fourth of his Nextel Cup career.

"There have been a lot of Sunday afternoons when this car wasn't on the track," said Waltrip. "To have it on the track, in front of everybody, when they start tomorrow afternoon is going to be a really proud moment."

Starting alongside Waltrip will be Dave Blaney, in another Toyota, who posted a time of 50.710 seconds.

Brian Vickers (50.726) and Joe Nemechek (50.809) will make up row two.

Because it is an "impound race" most of the "Chase" drivers bypassed qualifying setups for more reliable, but slightly slower, race setups.

The "Chase" field will start in the following order: Tony Stewart (11th), Martin Truex Jr. (13th), Denny Hamlin (18th), Jimmie Johnson (19th), Jeff Burton (21st), Clint Bowyer (23rd), Matt Kenseth (25th), Carl Edwards (31st), Jeff Gordon (34th), Kyle Busch (36th), Kevin Harvick (37th) and Kurt Busch (41st).

"Today was all about the guys outside the top-35 in points," said Gordon.

After a couple of wild days at Dover and Kansas, it is hard to believe that NASCAR could top it, but then one only has to look at the schedule and see where they are headed - Talladega. Talladega is the "home" of the "Big One." The multi-car accident that consumes a dozen or more cars and can end title hopes in a cruel instant.

"Our major concern is what these cars are going to draft like in a 43-car pack. We drafted in 10-, 12-car, very small packs (at the test), and we don't know what's going to happen when we get 43 of them," said Clint Bowyer's crew chief Gil Martin.

Johnson finished third at Kansas to grab a six-point lead over teammate Gordon and 14 points over Bowyer.

The race is scheduled to drop the green flag on Sunday at 2 p.m. (et).

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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined

Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.

"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."

Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)

According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.

As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).

Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.

Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at

17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.

*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007

New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers

By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.

"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."

While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."

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